Thursday, 10 May 2018 04:00

NCAA Tournament Women's Facts & Figures Plus Opening Round Capsules

Written by
Rate this item
(1 Vote)

The NCAA Tournament is now just 1 day away with all 16 women's sites starting on Friday and finishing on Saturday. All 16 sites will have live scoring and 12 will have streaming video - check my live scoring page for links. The Power 5 conferences accounted for 35 (55%) of the 64 bids with the SEC putting 11 teams in, the ACC with 10, the Big XII with 6, and the Pac-12 and Big Ten with 4 each. The only other conferences to put multiple teams in were the American at 3 and Conference USA at 2. 

UCLA and Stanford will be appearing in the NCAA Tournament for the 37th year in a row, which is every year since the team format was started in 1982, while it'll be the 36th year in a row for Florida. There were three significant streaks that came to an end this year with Cal missing the tournament for the first time ever, USC missing for the first time in 26 years, and Notre Dame missing for the first time in 22 years. I have a list down below of all the schools that have made it at least 10 years in a row and while most of the schools are familiar names there are a few that you might not expect. 

Of the 64 teams competing in this year's tournament, LIU Brooklyn and McNeese play the best doubles with both teams winning the doubles point 90.5% of the time while FIU is third at 89.5%. There are 11 schools that made the field with a doubles percentage of 50% or less with the worst being Georgia State at just 26.9% - of course the Panthers only have five healthy players so they've been forfeiting #3 doubles since the midpoint of the year. I have the full list down below. 

The team with the highest UTR Power 6 as of 5/8/18 is Stanford with the Cardinal edging out Pepperdine by .06 (70.21 to 70.15) which is an average of 11.7 per player. Georgia, Duke, and Vanderbilt rounded out the top five at 69.9, 69.6, and 69.3. These numbers will differ some from what you see on UTRs site because I used the actual lineups that the schools submitted whereas UTR has some players listed in the top 6 that won't play due to injury (Georgia State's Arina Taluyenko, Miami's Sofia Sewing, Pepperdine's Jessica Failla) or other/unknown reasons (Florida State's Emmanuelle Salas, Oklahoma State's Lisa-Marie Rioux). Also of note is Morgan State didn't enter a lot of results in the ITA's system so therefore the results also weren't in UTRs. 

As I mentioned on my men's breakdown, for those filling out a bracket over at Slam.Tennis I'd recommend that you plan on having at least one top 16 seed get upset during the first two rounds. Since the field was expanded to 64 teams in 1999, there has only been one year (2007) where all the top 16 seeds survived the opening weekend. A top 16 seed has never lost in the first round. 

I took the master lineups that each of the teams submitted and put them into a spreadsheet to see who had the highest dual-match winning percentage per position. You can view them at this link (also includes them sorted by UTR) and down below I have the top five at each position. 

I also have the women's first/second round capsules, just like I did for the men, in this Google sheet. Below is the one for the Vanderbilt/Alabama State match. 

Screen Shot 2018 05 10 at 9.48.02 PM

 

Weekend Schedule (Times ET):

Friday, May 11th, 2018:
Mississippi State vs. William & Mary (@UNC) - 10 a.m. 
Virginia vs. VCU (@SouthCarolina) - 11 a.m. 
Illinois vs. Princeton (@TexasTech) - 11 a.m. 
Florida State vs. North Florida (@Florida) - 11 a.m. 
Texas A&M vs. Rice (@Texas) - 11 a.m. 
UCF vs. Florida International (@Miami) - 11 a.m.
Wake Forest vs. Arizona State (@Georgia) - 12 p.m.
Auburn vs. Winthrop (@GaTech) - 12 p.m.
Ohio State vs. Clemson (@Vandy) - 12 p.m. 
Kansas vs. Denver (@Pepperdine) - 1 p.m.
Syracuse vs. Wichita State (@OleMiss) - 1 p.m. 
Baylor vs. NC State (@UCLA) - 1 p.m. 
Oregon vs. Tennessee (@Duke) - 1 p.m. 
Morgan State at #2 North Carolina - 1 p.m. 
Kentucky vs. Kansas State (@Northwestern) - 1 p.m. 
Quinnipiac at #10 South Carolina - 2 p.m.
Youngstown State #9 Florida - 2 p.m. 
LIU Brooklyn at #16 Miami FL - 2 p.m.
Michigan vs. Hawaii (@Stanford) - 2 p.m. 
McNeese at #6 Texas - 2 p.m. 
Tulsa vs. LSU (@OklahomaSt) - 2 p.m. 
Army at #11 Texas Tech - 2 p.m. 
Eastern Kentucky at #4 Georgia Tech - 3 p.m.
Georgia State at #7 Georgia - 3 p.m.
Alabama State at #1 Vanderbilt - 3 p.m.
Missouri State at #5 Ole Miss - 4 p.m. 
Fresno State at #12 UCLA - 4 p.m.
Idaho at #13 Pepperdine - 4 p.m. 
Furman at #3 Duke - 4 p.m.
Buffalo at #14 Northwestern - 4 p.m.
UMKC at #8 Oklahoma State - 5 p.m. 
St. John's at #15 Stanford - 5 p.m. 
 
Saturday, May 12th, 2018:
Miami Regional Final - 12 p.m. 
Northwestern Regional Final - 1 p.m.
Georgia Tech Regional Final - 1 p.m.
Vanderbilt Regional Final - 1 p.m.
Texas Regional Final - 1 p.m.
South Carolina Regional Final - 2 p.m. 
Texas Tech Regional Final - 2 p.m. 
Pepperdine Regional Final - 3 p.m. 
Georgia Regional Final - 3 p.m. 
Ole Miss Regional Final - 3 p.m. 
Duke Regional Final - 3 p.m. 
North Carolina Regional Final - 3 p.m.
Oklahoma State Regional Final - 4 p.m.
Florida Regional Final - 4 p.m.
UCLA Regional Final - 6 p.m.
Stanford Regional Final - 7 p.m.
 
 
Consecutive Years In NCAAs (1982-present)
 
School Years
UCLA 37
Stanford 37
Florida 36
Georgia 32
Arizona State 31
Pepperdine 31
Duke 29
South Carolina 24
Vanderbilt 24
Miami FL 23
Northwestern 23
North Carolina 20
Georgia Tech 19
Texas A&M 19
Clemson 17
Michigan 17
Baylor 14
Tulsa 12
Wichita State 10 

 

**Streaks that ended in 2018 - Cal (36), USC (26), Notre Dame (22) 

 

Doubles Dual-Match Records

Seed Team W L PCT
  LIU Brooklyn 19 2 90.5%
  McNeese 19 2 90.5%
  FIU 17 2 89.5%
14 Northwestern 23 3 88.5%
15 Stanford 18 3 85.7%
  Winthrop 20 4 83.3%
  UCF 19 4 82.6%
  Princeton 18 4 81.8%
7 Georgia 17 4 81.0%
  Tulsa 21 5 80.8%
12 UCLA 20 5 80.0%
2 North Carolina 23 6 79.3%
13 Pepperdine 19 5 79.2%
  Denver 18 5 78.3%
  St. John's 17 5 77.3%
4 Georgia Tech 20 6 76.9%
3 Duke 20 6 76.9%
11 Texas Tech 20 6 76.9%
  Illinois 20 6 76.9%
10 South Carolina 18 6 75.0%
  Army 20 7 74.1%
  Florida State 19 7 73.1%
  Ohio State 16 6 72.7%
1 Vanderbilt 18 7 72.0%
  Idaho 15 6 71.4%
  North Florida 17 7 70.8%
  Syracuse 17 7 70.8%
  NC State 21 9 70.0%
16 Miami FL 16 7 69.6%
  Arizona State 16 7 69.6%
  Wake Forest 22 10 68.8%
  Hawaii 11 5 68.8%
  Buffalo 13 6 68.4%
  Furman 19 9 67.9%
  Kansas 14 7 66.7%
  Eastern Kentucky       16 8 66.7%
  Tennessee 19 10 65.5%
  Wichita State 16 9 64.0%
6 Texas 16 9 64.0%
  VCU 14 8 63.6%
9 Florida 15 9 62.5%
  Oregon 15 9 62.5%
  Mississippi State 15 9 62.5%
  Youngstown State 16 10 61.5%
5 Ole Miss 16 10 61.5%
8 Oklahoma State 14 9 60.9%
  Rice 14 9 60.9%
  Texas A&M 13 9 59.1%
  Quinnipiac 13 9 59.1%
  Michigan 15 11 57.7%
  Alabama State 9 7 56.3%
  Auburn 16 14 53.3%
  Missouri State 11 10 52.4%
  Clemson 13 13 50.0%
  UMKC 12 12 50.0%
  Fresno State 12 12 50.0%
  Morgan State 12 12 50.0%
  Virginia 11 12 47.8%
  William & Mary 12 14 46.2%
  Baylor 13 17 43.3%
  Kentucky 10 14 41.7%
  Kansas State 10 14 41.7%
  LSU 9 15 37.5%
  Georgia State 7 19 26.9%

 

UTR Power 6 (as of 5/8/18)

Rank Team P6 Avg
1 Stanford 70.2 11.7
2 Pepperdine 70.2 11.7
3 Georgia 69.9 11.6
4 Duke 69.6 11.6
5 Vanderbilt 69.3 11.6
6 North Carolina 69.0 11.5
7 Texas 68.8 11.5
8 UCLA 68.7 11.4
9 Georgia Tech 68.5 11.4
10 South Carolina 68.5 11.4
11 Florida 68.1 11.3
12 Texas Tech 67.7 11.3
13 Ole Miss 67.2 11.2
14 Kansas 67.1 11.2
15 Baylor 67.1 11.2
16 Michigan 67.0 11.2
17 Miami FL 66.8 11.1
18 Oklahoma State 66.7 11.1
19 Virginia 66.6 11.1
20 Oregon 66.6 11.1
21 Auburn 66.5 11.1
22 Florida State 66.4 11.1
23 Northwestern 66.2 11.0
24 Arizona State 66.1 11.0
25 Wake Forest 65.9 11.0
26 Syracuse 65.8 11.0
27 UCF 65.7 10.9
28 Rice 65.7 10.9
29 Tulsa 65.5 10.9
30 Florida International 65.5 10.9
31 Kansas State 65.1 10.9
32 NC State 65.1 10.9
33 Illinois 65.1 10.8
34 Kentucky 64.9 10.8
35 Denver 64.7 10.8
36 Princeton 64.5 10.8
37 Ohio State 64.5 10.8
38 Wichita State 64.4 10.7
39 Mississippi State 64.4 10.7
40 Texas A&M 64.0 10.7
41 Tennessee 64.0 10.7
42 Clemson 63.7 10.6
43 William & Mary 63.6 10.6
44 Fresno State 61.8 10.3
45 Hawaii 61.5 10.2
46 Winthrop 61.3 10.2
47 Furman 60.6 10.1
48 North Florida 60.1 10.0
49 VCU 60.0 10.0
50 Idaho 59.7 9.9
51 Buffalo 59.7 9.9
52 LSU 59.2 9.9
53 McNeese 59.2 9.9
54 St. John's 58.7 9.8
55 Eastern Kentucky 57.3 9.6
56 LIU Brooklyn 56.4 9.4
57 UMKC 55.7 9.3
58 Younstown State 55.3 9.2
59 Army 55.0 9.2
60 Quinnipiac 53.2 8.9
61 Alabama State 52.0 8.7
62 Georgia State 51.5 10.3
63 Missouri State 51.5 8.6
64 Morgan State 49.3 8.2

 

Number of Top 16 seeds to lose before the Round of 16:

2017 (1) - Texas A&M def. #16 Baylor 4-3
2016 (2) - Texas def. #9 Duke 4-2; Georgia Tech def. #13 South Carolina 4-0
2015 (1) - Clemson def. #13 Alabama 4-2
2014 (1) - Notre Dame def. #15 Northwestern 4-3
2013 (1) - Duke def. #16 Texas Tech 4-3
2012 (2) - Rice def. #16 Ole Miss 4-2; Georgia Tech def. #8 Alabama 4-3
2011 (2) - Vanderbilt def. #13 Tennessee 4-3; SMU def. #12 Florida State 4-3*
2010 (1) - Ole Miss def. #14 Georgia Tech 4-0
2009 (2) - Washington def. #7 USC 4-3; South Carolina def. #10 Tennessee 4-3
2008 (2) - Arkansas def. #15 North Carolina 4-3; Texas def. #14 Florida State 5-2
2007 (0) - NONE
2006 (3) - UCLA def. #13 Pepperdine 4-0; Kentucky def. #15 Clemson 4-0; Fresno State def. #10 California 4-3
2005 (2) - California def. #9 Miami FL 4-3; Harvard def. #16 Tennessee**
2004 (4) - Miami FL def. #1 Florida 4-3; Tennessee def. #14 North Carolina 4-3; Fresno State def. #11 California 4-3; Arizona State def. #13 Texas 4-0***
2003 (2) - Kansas State def. #12 VCU 4-2; Harvard def. #16 Arizona 4-3****
2002 (1) - VCU def. #12 South Carolina 4-1
2001 (2) - Wake Forest def. #16 Oklahoma State 4-3; UCLA def. #11 Fresno State 4-3
2000 (2) - LSU def. #6 Pepperdine 5-4; Tennessee def. #13 William & Mary 5-3
1999 (4) - Miami FL def. #7 Texas; Iowa def. #12 Notre Dame; Fresno State def. #13 William & Mary; South Alabama def. #8 UCLA

* 2011 - Texas A&M hosted even though Florida State was seeded - SMU beat both
** 2005 - Harvard hosted even though Tennessee was seeded
*** 2004 - Arizona State was #3 seed in the regional and def. LSU in the first round
**** 2003 - Harvard hosted even though Arizona was seeded; Kansas State was #3 seed and def. Northwestern in the first round.

No. 3 seeds to advance to Round of 16: SMU (2011); Arizona State (2004), Kansas State (2003)

No. 4 seeds to advance to Round of 16: None

 

Top Singles Dual-Match Winning Percentage by Slot (min 10 matches - all matches not necessarily played at that spot)

Pos. ITA Player School UTR W L %
1 3 Estela Perez-Somarriba Miami FL 12.08 21 1 0.95
1 53 Eden Richardson LSU 11.71 18 1 0.95
1 118 Jessica Livianu St. John's 11.63 16 1 0.94
1 1 Bianca Turati Texas 12.28 16 1 0.94
1 2 Makenna Jones North Carolina 11.83 23 2 0.92
 
2 55 Meible Chi Duke 11.73 22 1 0.96
2 39 Megan McCray Oklahoma State 11.78 17 1 0.94
2 30 Anna Turati Texas 11.92 15 1 0.94
2   Bianca Mok Denver 11.52 17 2 0.89
2 60 Kenya Jones Georgia Tech 11.57 20 3 0.87
 
3 22 Mayar Sherif Pepperdine 11.91 17 1 0.94
3   Rebeka Stolmar UCF 11.38 19 2 0.90
3   Hada Chang Denver 10.37 15 2 0.88
3 46 Sara Daavettila North Carolina 11.69 22 3 0.88
3   Lolade Ogungbesan Buffalo 9.87 17 3 0.85
 
4 28 Kelly Chen Duke 11.80 21 1 0.95
4 54 Evgeniya Levashova Pepperdine 11.84 19 1 0.95
4   Mariana Gould Georgia 11.63 14 1 0.93
4 95 Alexa Graham North Carolina 11.82 24 2 0.92
4 43 Emily Arbuthnott Stanford 11.73 14 2 0.88
 
5 84 Ellyse Hamlin Duke 11.61 19 2 0.90
5 91 Laura Gulbe Pepperdine 11.57 16 2 0.89
5   Sanjana Sudhir Buffalo 9.47 15 2 0.88
5   Irina Preotescu St. John's 9.31 13 2 0.87
5   Sasha Belaya Illinois 10.23 15 3 0.83
 
6   Rachel Rohrabacher South Carolina 11.15 11 1 0.92
6   Shura Poppe Tulsa 10.39 9 1 0.90
6   Arianna Paules Aldrey Buffalo 9.65 14 2 0.88
6 121 Alaina Miller UCLA 11.27 14 2 0.88
6   Phonexay Chitdara McNeese 9.82 17 3 0.85

 

Top Individual UTRs (as of 5/8) - first W/L column is dual-match & second is overall

Pos. ITA Player Team UTR DM W L % Ov W L
1 18 Anna Danilina Florida 12.44 12 6 0.67 26 10
1 1 Bianca Turati Texas 12.28 16 1 0.94 28 2
1 11 Astra Sharma Vanderbilt 12.21 11 2 0.85 11 2
1 3 Estela Perez-Somarriba Miami FL 12.08 21 1 0.95 35 6
1 15 Michaela Gordon Stanford 12.05 12 7 0.63 21 8
1 7 Arianne Hartono Ole Miss 12.03 20 2 0.91 29 6
1 8 Anastasia Rychagova Kansas 12.00 8 1 0.89 18 3
2 10 Fernanda Contreras Vanderbilt 11.98 18 4 0.82 36 8
2 17 Ashley Lahey Pepperdine 11.94 10 2 0.83 20 4
2 30 Anna Turati Texas 11.92 15 1 0.94 24 2

 

 

 

Read 1044 times Last modified on Thursday, 10 May 2018 15:53

Leave a comment

Make sure you enter all the required information, indicated by an asterisk (*). HTML code is not allowed.