Sunday, 19 May 2019 06:51

NCAA Men's & Women's Championship Preview

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Championship Sunday is upon us with No. 2 Texas taking on No. 4 Wake Forest in the men's final while No. 1 Georgia plays No. 3 Stanford in the women's final.

Wake Forest will be seeking its second consecutive championship while Texas is looking for its first. Stanford will also be seeking its second consecutive championship and 20th overall while Georgia hopes to win its third. 

For the fourth straight day the weather forecast calls for plenty of sunshine and temperatures in the upper 80s so unless something unexpected happens this will be the first time in recent memory that none of the matches at the finals site were effected by wet weather. 

Let's take one final dive into the numbers to see who has the edge in each championship match. 

Live scoring of the matches are available at these links - Men & Women and you can watch both on the Tennis Channel

UTR-Power 6 Variance:
[2] Texas vs. [4] Wake Forest: TX +0.13
[1] Georgia vs. [3] Stanford UGA +1.24
 
Slam.Tennis Expected Winning Percentage (EWP):
[2] Texas vs. [4] Wake Forest: Wake 56%
[1] Georgia vs. [3] Stanford: UGA 63%
   

 

#2 Texas vs. #4 Wake Forest (Sunday 3 pm ET)

Road to the Super Regionals
 
#2 Texas
  • def. #148 Tennessee Tech 4-0
  • def. #37 South Florida 4-1
  • def. #24 California 4-0
  • def. #10 TCU 4-1
  • def. #3 Florida 4-2
 
#4 Wake Forest
  • def. #132 Morgan State 5-0
  • def. #36 Kentucky 4-1
  • def. #21 Oklahoma 4-1
  • def. #5 Virginia 4-2
  • def. #9 North Carolina 4-3
 
All-Time Series: Texas 8-2 (Wake has won the last 2)
 
Most Recent Meeting: 2017 - Wake Forest 4-0 
 
Notes:
 
Texas is in the finals for the second time in program history (2008) and will be seeking its first title 
  • Christian Sigsgaard has won 7 of his last 10 completed matches
  • Yuya Ito has won his last 5 matches and 17 of his last 19
  • Leo Telles is coming off a win vs. Florida after his previous 4 matches went unfinished 
  • Harrison Scott has won his last 7 completed matches and 9 of his last 10
  • Colin Markes has won 7 of his last 9 matches
  • Rodrigo Banzer has won 8 of his last 9 completed matches
 
Wake Forest has won 19 straight matches and the defending champs are in the finals for the second year
  • Wake has dropped the doubles point in its last 4 matches
  • Borna Gojo has won his last 12 completed matches with his last loss Feb 17 to Ohio State's JJ Wolf 
  • Petros Chrysochos has won his last 11 completed matches 
  • Bar Botzer has won his last 12 completed matches
  • Rrezart Cungu has lost 4 of his last 7 completed matches 
  • Melios Efstathiou has won 14 of his last 16 completed matches 
  • Sid Banthia has won 5 straight and 9 of his last 11 matches 
 
If table below is blocked by the page border click here to view separately  
 
ITA  Seed School W/L Dubs W/L UTR P6
Sunday, 3 p.m. ET @ Lake Nona, FL
2 2 Texas 28-3 22-7 82.34
3 4 Wake Forest 34-3 24-13 82.21
Projected Doubles Lineup
Pos
ITA Rank
Player
Team
UTR
DM  
ITA Rank
Player
Team
UTR
DM
W L W L
1 5 Harrison Scott 
Christian Sigsgaard
Texas 15 6
vs.
63 Borna Gojo 
Alan Gadjiev
Wake Forest 11 9
2   Colin Markes 
Leonardo Telles
Texas 14 9 55 Petros Chrysochos 
Bar Botzer
Wake Forest 17 6
3   Chih Chi Huang 
Yuya Ito
Texas 16 5   Melios Efstathiou 
Sid Banthia
Wake Forest 12 11
Projected Singles Lineup
1 7 Christian Sigsgaard (Jr) Texas 14.12 16 9
vs.
11 Borna Gojo (Jr) Wake 14.41 15 3
2 12 Yuya Ito (Jr) Texas 14.27 27 3 8 Petros Chrysochos (Sr) Wake 14.45 23 2
3 80 Leonardo Telles (Sr) Texas 13.41 14 5 50 Bar Botzer (So) Wake 13.72 25 2
4 55 Harrison Scott (Sr) Texas 13.61 19 5   Rrezart Cungu (So) Wake 13.07 17 10
5   Colin Markes (Sr) Texas 13.63 18 4   Melios Efstathiou (Fr) Wake 13.46 22 8
6   Rodrigo Banzer (Sr) Texas 13.30 13 3   Sid Banthia (Fr) Wake 13.10 23 7
Bench Players
7   Chih Chi Huang Texas 13.17 11 5     Yuval Solomon Wake 12.78 7 5
8   Johnny Goodwin Texas 12.32 1 1   Julian Zlobinsky Wake 12.92 12 3
 
 
Thoughts & Prediction: Both teams have to feel pretty good about certain spots in the lineup with Wake liking its chances at 1, 2, and 3 while Texas likely expects to take 4, 5, and 6. Wake hasn't played well in doubles all tournament but I think they get it together today and take the point and for the second year in a row Bar Botzer will provide the clincher to make Wake the back-to-back NCAA Champions - Wake Forest 4-3
 
 
 

#1 Georgia vs. #3 Stanford (Sunday NB 5 pm ET)

Road to the Super Regionals
 
#1 Georgia
  • def. Alabama State 4-0
  • def. #22 Wake Forest 4-0
  • def. #16 Michigan 4-2
  • def. #8 Vanderbilt 4-3
  • def. #5 Duke 4-2
#3 Stanford
  • def. New Mexico State 4-0
  • def. #31 Syracuse 4-1
  • def. #14 Kansas 4-3
  • def. #6 Pepperdine 4-1
  • def. #2 North Carolina 5-2
 
All-Time Series: Stanford 21-5 
Most Recent Meeting: 2019 - Georgia 4-3 (National Team Indoor SF) 
 
All-Time @ NCAAs: Stanford 12-3
  • Stanford 4-0 (2018 QF)
  • Georgia 4-1 (2015 QF)
  • Stanford 4-1 (2013 QF)
  • Stanford 4-0 (2011 QF)
  • Stanford 4-1 (2005 QF)
  • Georgia 4-0 (2003 QF)
  • Stanford 4-0 (2002 SF)
  • Georgia 5-4 (2000 F)
  • Georgia 5-4 (1994 F)
  • Stanford 5-1 (1993 QF)
  • Stanford 5-1 (1991 SF)
  • Stanford 6-0 (1990 QF)
  • Stanford 6-0 (1989 SF)
  • Stanford 5-3 (1988 QF)
  • Stanford 5-1 (1987 F)
 
Notes:

Georgia is in the finals for the fourth time in program history with each of the previous three finals coming against Stanford (2-1) 

  • Vivian Wolff and Elena Christofi are 17-1 in doubles 
  • Vivian Wolff has won 20 straight matches and is 24-1 in dual-match play
  • Katarina Jokic has won 2 straight and 4 of her last 6 completed matches 
  • Marta Gonzalez has won 2 of her last 3 matches 
  • Lourdes Carle has lost 2 straight but had won 14 of the prior 15 completed matches 
  • Elena Christofi has won 12 of her last 13 matches  (lost vs. Duke)
  • Meg Kowalski has only lost one match all season - including the fall (SC's Rohrabacher on 4/21)

Stanford has won 22 straight matches and is making its fourth straight appearance in the finals and will be seeking its 20th NCAA Championship

  • Caroline Lampl is 21-1 but is coming off her first loss vs. UNC 
  • Michaela Gordon has won 8 of her last 9 completed matches and 13 of her last 14
  • Melissa Lord has won 14 of her last 15 matches (13 in straight sets)
  • Emily Arbuthnott has won 15 of her last 17 completed matches (lost vs. UNC)
  • Janice Shin has won her last 7 completed matches and 15 of her last 17
  • Emma Higuchi has won 13 of her last 14 
  • Sara Choy is 2-1 after her making her first appearance since March vs. UNC. 
  • Niluka Madurawe has won 4 of her last 5 completed matches (loss vs. Kansas in R16)
 
ITA  Seed School W/L Dubs W/L UTR P6
Sunday, NB 5 p.m. ET @ Lake Nona
2 1 Georgia 28-1 22-6 69.37
3 3 Stanford 27-1 22-6 68.13
Projected Doubles Lineup
Pos
ITA Rank
Player
Team
UTR
DM  
ITA Rank
Player
Team
UTR
DM
W L W L
1 28 Katarina Jokic 
Lourdes Carle
Georgia 10 6
vs.
19 Caroline Lampl 
Kimberly Yee
Stanford 12 8
2   Vivian Wolff 
Elena Christofi
Georgia 17 1 29 Emily Arbuthnott 
Michaela Gordon
Stanford 16 4
3   Meg Kowalski 
Marta Gonzalez
Georgia 12 5 57 Melissa Lord 
Niluka Madurawe
Stanford 17 5
Projected Singles Lineup
1 2 Katarina Jokic (So) Georgia 11.82 11 4
vs.
24 Michaela Gordon (So) Stanford 11.71 15 5
2 19 Marta Gonzalez (Jr) Georgia 11.45 9 9 29 Melissa Lord (Sr) Stanford 11.58 20 4
3 69 Lourdes Carle (Fr) Georgia 11.59 18 6 66 Caroline Lampl (Sr) Stanford 11.65 21 1
4 72 Vivian Wolff (So) Georgia 11.68 24 1 44 Emily Arbuthnott (Jr) Stanford 11.45 20 3
5   Elena Christofi (Jr) Georgia 11.49 16 3 108 Janice Shin (So) Stanford 11.23 18 3
6 122 Meg Kowalski (Fr) Georgia 11.34 21 1 119 Sara Choy (Fr) Stanford 10.51 2 1
Bench Players
7   Morgan Coppoc (So) Georgia 10.47 0 0   107 Emma Higuchi (Jr) Stanford 10.75 14 4
8   Alee Clayton (Fr) Georgia 10.06 0 0   Niluka Madurawe (Fr) Stanford 10.83 3 1
  
 
Regular Season Meeting:
 
#5 Georgia 4, #1 Stanford 3
Feb 11, 2019 at Seattle, Wa (Nordstrom Tennis Center)
Singles competition
1. #2 Katarina Jokic (UGA) def. #23 Michaela Gordon (SU) 4-6, 6-1, 6-3
2. #10 Marta Gonzalez (UGA) def. #46 Melissa Lord (SU) 7-5, 6-2
3. #57 Caroline Lampl (SU) def. #102 Lourdes Carle (UGA) 3-6, 6-3, 6-0
4. #58 Vivian Wolff (UGA) def. #14 Emily Arbuthnott (SU) 6-2, 6-2
5. #37 Janice Shin (SU) def. Elena Christofi (UGA) 6-3, 6-2
6. #84 Meg Kowalski (UGA) def. #44 Emma Higuchi (SU) 6-1, 6-1
Doubles Competition
1. #10 Kimberly Yee/Caroline Lampi (SU) def. Carle/Wolff (UGA) 6-3
2. #13 Emily Arburthnott/Michaela Gordon (SU) def. Christofi/Coppoc (UGA) 7-5
3. Jokic/Kowalski (UGA) def. #31 Melissa Lord/Niluka Madurawe (SU) 6-4
Match Notes
Georgia 6-0; National ranking #5
Stanford 5-1; National ranking #1
Order of finish: Doubles (1,3,2); Singles (6,4,5,2,3,1)
 
Prediction & Thoughts: Georgia handed Stanford its only loss of the season at the National Team Indoors in Seattle and both teams are expected to put out the same lineups today unless Stanford makes a change again at No. 6 like it did yesterday against UNC. Neither team is counting on the doubles point but the team that gets it will obviously have an easier path to the title. I like Jokic, Wolff, and Kowalski at 1, 4, and 6 for Georgia while I think Lord, Lampl, and Shin get it done at 2, 3, and 5 for Stanford - Georgia 4-3
 
 
 
Read 1092 times Last modified on Sunday, 19 May 2019 09:08

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