Tagged with:
2015 NCAA 1st Round Previews,
Florida,
George Washington,
Marist,
NC State,
Pepperdine,
TCU,
Tulsa,
Wake ForestTCU Regional
Bayard H. Friedman Tennis Center – Fort Worth, TX
[5] TCU (21-7) vs. [49-64] Marist (15-7) – Friday 6pm – #6 TCU got in as an at-large after falling to #2 Baylor 4-3 in the Big 12 Semifinals while Marist is back in the NCAAs for the 3rd year in a row after beating Monmouth 4-2 in the MAAC Championship.
Doubles Records: TCU 14-11, Marist 13-6
UTR Starting 6 Power Rating: TCU 84, Marist 71
FYI, the number beside the player’s school is the player’s Universal Tennis Rating as of May 1st. For more details about UTR check out their website.
The UTR Power 6 is the combined UTRs of the starting 6 (rounded to a whole #). An individual win/loss to anyone with a UTR difference of 1.0 or greater would be considered an upset.
Projected Singles Lineups
1. #49 Nick Chappell (TCU 14.03) vs. Justin Chanthalangsy (MAR 11.65)
2. #59 Guillermo Nuez (TCU 14.00) vs. Rudy Kurz (MAR 12.36)
3. #39 Cameron Norrie (TCU 14.33) vs. Fredrik Bjerke (MAR 11.98)
4. Facundo Lugones (TCU 13.92) vs. Joseph Dube (MAR 11.88)
5. Arnau Dachs (TCU 14.10) vs. Matteo Guidice (MAR 11.87)
6. Will Stein (TCU 13.40) vs. Jan Dernic (MAR 11.16)
Not much analysis needed here – TCU takes the doubles point and picks up wins from Chappell, Norrie, and Stein. Prediction: TCU 4-0
[17-32] Tulsa (17-12) vs. [33-48] North Carolina State (17-11) – Friday 3pm – Both teams got in as at-large selections after #37 NC State lost 4-2 to #27 Florida State in the opening round of the ACC Tournament while #30 Tulsa was blanked by #18 South Florida in the AAC Championship Finals. NC State was without Simon Norenius for the FSU match due to a back injury that forced him to retire in the Pack’s regular season finale against Notre Dame on April 18th. Both teams had the highest highs and the lowest lows. Tulsa beat #8 USC and #11 Ohio State yet lost to #43 Tulane and #65 Washington. NC State beat #12 Wake Forest yet lost to #48 South Carolina. NC State lost 8 matches by a 4-3 score including one against #15 Virginia Tech where the Pack’s Nick Horton led 5-2 in the 3rd in what would have been the deciding match.
Doubles Records: Tulsa 15-13, NC State 18-10
UTR Starting 6 Power Rating: Tulsa 79, NC State 82
Projected Singles Lineups
1. #27 Or Ram-Harel (TU 13.87) vs. #69 Robbie Mudge (NCST 13.89)
2. #87 Alejandro Espejo (TU 13.80) vs. Beck Bond (NCST 13.68)
3. Matthew Kirby (TU 12.84) vs. #110 Simon Norenius (NCST 13.76)
4. Juan Matias Gonzalez (TU 13.24) vs. #93 Austin Powell (NCST 13.60)
5. Mitchell Pritchard (TU 12.63) vs. Thomas Weigel (NCST 13.53)
6. Carlos Bautista (TU 13.03) vs. Nick Horton (NCST 13.43)
Others who could play: Dylan McCloskey (TU 12.66), Shoti Meparidze (NCST 12.14)
Tulsa may be the higher seed but NC State is the stronger team top to bottom. Tulsa’s 3, 4, and 5 combined to go 24-31 in dual match play while NC State’s 3, 4, and 5 went 44-27. All of NC State’s starting 6 recorded at least 14 dual-match wins while none of Tulsa’s did. In my opinion Tulsa’s only chance is to take the doubles point and then take 1, 2, and 6 singles. However I think NC State takes the doubles point and then gets wins from Norenius, Powell, and Weigel to send the Pack on to the next round. Prediction: NC State 4-1
Wake Forest Regional
Wake Forest Tennis Complex – Winston-Salem, NC
[12] Wake Forest (22-7) vs. [49-64] George Washington (13-12) – Friday 3pm – GW got the the Atlantic 10’s automatic bid after defeating VCU 4-2 while Wake Forest came up just short losing 4-2 to #3 Virginia in the ACC Championship. George Washington tied UW Green Bay for the worst doubles winning percentage of all the teams that made the NCAA Tournament.
Doubles Records: Wake Forest 21-7, GW 11-14
UTR Starting 6 Power Rating: Wake Forest 84, GW 76
Projected Singles Lineups
1. #6 Noah Rubin (WF 15.20) vs. Francisco Dias (GW 13.38)
2. #16 Romain Bogaerts (WF 14.63) vs. Danil Zelenkov (GW 13.15)
3. Skander Mansouri (WF 13.34) vs. Chris Fletcher (GW 11.96)
4. #106 Jon Ho (WF 13.81) vs. Christos Hadjigeorgiou (GW 11.97)
5. Christian Seraphim (WF 13.72) vs. Chris Reynolds (GW 12.08)
6. Keivon Tabrizi (WF 13.05) vs. Julius Tverijonas (GW 13.17)
Others who could play: Maksim Kan (WF 13.26), Cahit Kapukiran (GW 12.48)
The Demon Deacons will be off the court well before sundown as they’ll take the doubles point and then pick up singles wins from Noah Rubin, Jon Ho, and Christian Seraphim. Prediction: Wake Forest 4-0
[17-32] Florida (14-8) vs. [33-48] Pepperdine (17-9) – Friday 12pm – Both teams got in as at-large selections after #22 Florida lost 4-3 to #20 Mississippi State in the SEC quarterfinals while #39 Pepperdine lost 4-1 to #21 San Diego in the finals of the WCC Championship. Neither team excelled in doubles with Pepperdine at .500 while Florida is just 2 over. Florida went 5-8 against top 30 opponents while Pepperdine went 0-5.
Doubles Records: Florida 12-10, Pepperdine 13-13
UTR Starting 6 Power Rating: Florida 83, Pepperdine 78
Projected Singles Lineups
1. #63 Diego Hidalgo (UF 14.05) vs. Guilherme Hadlich (PEPP 13.39)
2. Elliott Orkin (UF 14.19) vs. Rakshay Thakkar (PEPP 13.05)
3. Gordon Watson (UF 13.77) vs. Stefan Menichella (PEPP 13.27)
4. Chase Perez-Blanco (UF 13.78) vs. Pedro Iamachkine (PEPP 13.02)
5. #102 Maxx Lipman (UF 13.53) vs. Luca Marquard (PEPP 12.59)
6. Joshua Wardell (UF 13.20) vs. Lautaro Pane (PEPP 12.99)
Others who could play: Jordan Belga (UF 13.04), Tom Hill (PEPP 12.19)
Pepperdine will be coming across the country to play this match with it starting at 9am pacific time so we’ll see how awake they are for the doubles point. Pepperdine’s strongest spot in singles is #6 with the Waves going 17-2 in dual match play while #6 was one of Florida’s weaker spot with the Gators going just 6-10. Both teams had losing records at #1 with Pepperdine going 8-10 and Florida 5-9. Of course one thing you have to take into consideration is each’s strength of schedule – Florida only played 3 matches against unranked teams while Pepperdine played 10 unranked teams. I like Florida in doubles and then look for Diego Hidalgo, Elliott Orkin, and Maxx Lipman to pick up wins in singles. Pepperdine’s best chances at winning are at 3, 4, and 6 and it wouldn’t surprise me if they won 1 or 2 of those courts. Prediction: Florida 4-1
I think Wake would take doubles and Rubin and Bogaerts would win at 1 and 2. I'd like Norrie, Dachs, and Stein at 3, 5, & 6 for TCU. #4 between Ho and Lugones would probably be the swing match.
How would you handicap the potential Wake Forest / TCU matchup?
duh, disregard previous post, I now see them on top of your blog! Thanks you rock.
Do you have the master line-up? Link says they were available 4/28-4/29 and it is blank now. Are you posting it somewhere as you have done in the past? Thanks for all the work you do!