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4/5 Oracle/ITA Men’s Rankings Release – Top 8 Profiles

by | Apr 6, 2016 | Blog

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North Carolina retained its top spot after splitting matches with Virginia and Wake Forest while TCU and Virginia remain at No. 2 and No. 3. UCLA moves up one spot to No. 4 after picking up wins over Cal and Stanford while Ohio State drops one spot from No. 4 to No. 5 despite winning both of its matches last weekend.

Wake Forest stays at No. 6 despite winning at No. 1 North Carolina. The reason they didn’t move up was because the team’s ahead of them had better overall wins plus Wake’s loss to NC State is weighing them down a tad. When I did my projections I had Wake at No. 7 because I made an error on my spreadsheet; instead of giving Wake its 10% road bonus for the UNC win I only gave them 10% as in .1 instead of 10% of 106.  Georgia had a nice week picking up wins over Texas A&M and LSU but they remain at No. 7 because everyone else ahead of them either won or had better overall wins. USC moves up one spot to No. 8 after beating Stanford and Cal while Oklahoma was the big mover in the top 25 coming up from No. 18 to No. 9 after winning at South Florida and Florida State. Texas A&M stays at No. 10 just .16 ahead of No. 11 Texas Tech.

This set of rankings used each team’s eight best wins and all losses while next week’s rankings and all the subsequent rankings until the selection of the NCAA field will use each’s nine best wins.

Duke, Loyola Marymount, Oklahoma, and Alabama were the biggest upward movers last week. Duke rose 15 spots to No. 60, Loyola Marymount came up 10 spots to No. 58, Oklahoma and Alabama came up 9 spots to No. 9 and No. 32 respectively.

Wisconsin and Middle Tennessee State were the only teams to make double digit drops after each lost twice last week.

The following teams moved up at least 5 spots versus the last rankings – movement in ( ):
#9 Oklahoma (+9) – won at South Florida and Florida State
#32 Alabama (+9) – won at Ole Miss and lost to Arkansas
#39 LSU (+5) – beat South Carolina, Brown, New Orleans and lost to Georgia
#40 Virginia Tech (+5) won at Notre Dame and lost to Wake Forest
#52 East Tennessee State (+5) – won at UNC Wilmington and Furman
#58 Loyola Marymount (+10) – won at Pacific and St. Mary’s and lost to UC Irvine
#60 Duke (+15) – won at NC State and lost to Virginia
#64 Boise State (+5) – won at New Mexico and Air Force
#66 Pacific (+6) – beat Pepperdine

The following teams dropped down at least 5 spots versus the last rankings (still ranked):
#22 South Florida (-5) – lost to Oklahoma and SMU
#42 Stanford (-6) – lost to USC and UCLA
#44 Wisconsin (-14) – lost to Northwestern and Illinois
#45 Baylor (-7) – lost to Texas Tech
#69 UNC Wilmington (-6) – lost to East Tennessee State
#70 William & Mary (-8) – lost to Elon
#74 Middle Tennessee State (-10) – lost to Memphis and VCU
#75 Miami FL (-8) – lost to Georgia Tech and Clemson

These 2 teams entered the rankings after being unranked and here is why they are now ranked
#71 North Florida – beat NJIT and Kennesaw State plus previous win over Georgia State was upgraded when GSU jumped 14 spots in the rankings last week
#72 Utah – lost both matches to Oregon and Washington but previous wins over Loyola Marymount and Boise State were upgraded when both entered the top 75 last week.

These 2 teams dropped out of the rankings with last week’s rankings in ( ):
UAB (74) – lost to Old Dominion
New Mexico (70) – lost to Utah State and Boise State

After going through the rankings I was able to determine where some other teams were ranked in last week’s rankings (in alphabetical order per tier):

76-85: Arizona, Clemson, Florida Gulf Coast, Nebraska, North Florida, Penn, San Diego State, UC Irvine, Utah, Western Michigan
86-95: Abilene Christian, Appalachian State, Elon, Southern Miss, Tennessee, Troy, UNLV, UT Arlington, Wichita State
96-105: Buffalo, Central Florida, Coastal Carolina, College of Charleston, Florida Atlantic, Indiana, Louisville, Portland, South Alabama, Valparaiso
106-115: Furman, George Washington, Texas A&M Corpus Christi, Yale
116-125: Brown, Charlotte

Here is the ITA’s release which breaks down the rankings by conference affiliation.

Below I’ll breakdown the team Top 8 looking at the 8 best wins that were used in the rankings this week along with other quality ranked wins. I also listed the point totals gained from the best wins and losses to come up with the computer score.  

North Carolina remains at No. 1 after beating No. 3 Virginia before falling to No. 6 Wake Forest

  • 8 Best Wins (638.8): #3 Virginia (2X + 1 on road), #4 Ohio State, #5 UCLA, #12 Texas Tech, #15 Illinois, #18 Oklahoma, at #42 NC State
  • Other Quality Wins: #42 NC State (2nd of 2 wins),  #43 Vanderbilt, #45 Virginia Tech,
  • Losses (8.7): #6 Wake Forest, at #22 Florida State
  • Computer Score:  638.8/8.7 = 73.43 (was 77.30)
  • What’s Coming Up: at Notre Dame (4/8), at Boston College (4/10), Georgia Tech (4/15), at Duke (4/17), ACC Tournament (4/22-24)
  • Comments: The Tar Heels won a big one over Virginia and seemingly had Wake Forest all but beat but they weren’t able to slam the door shut. The next two weeks will be a good time to get everyone rested for what will be a brutal ACC Tournament.

TCU stays at No. 2 after adding wins over No. 10 Texas A&M, No. 26 Rice, and UT Arlington. 

  • 8 Best Wins (586.9): #8 Oklahoma State, #9 USC, #10 Texas A&M, #13 Northwestern, #15 Illinois (2X +1 on road), at #17 South Florida, #24 Tulsa
  • Other Quality Wins: #26 Rice, #28 Columbia, at #30 Wisconsin, #36 Stanford, #40 Dartmouth, 
  • Losses (8.5): #3 Virginia, #16 California
  • Computer Score:  586.9/8.5 = 69.05 (was 72.19)
  • What’s Coming Up: SMU (4/6), Oklahoma (4/8), Oklahoma State (4/10), at Texas (4/16), Baylor (4/20), at Texas Tech (4/24)
  • Comments: TCU added some nice wins last week which was a good thing because several of its top wins fell in the rankings last week. TCU has a rough schedule down the stretch with three top 25 teams coming to Fort Worth this week with Oklahoma probably the biggest challenge of the three. TCU will be tested but it should win them all this week. 

Virginia holds firm at No. 3 despite a loss to North Carolina last Friday. 

  • 8 Best Wins (581.8): #2 TCU, #5 UCLA, #6 Wake Forest, #18 Oklahoma, #19 Kentucky, #22 Florida State, #24 Tulsa, #32 San Diego
  • Other Quality Wins: #42 NC State, #45 Virginia Tech, #51 Notre Dame, #75 Duke
  • Losses (8.5): #1 North Carolina (2X), #15 Illinois
  • Computer Score:  581.8/8.5 = 68.45 (was 70.21)
  • What’s Coming Up: at Florida (4/6), at Georgia Tech (4/8), at Clemson (4/10), Wake Forest (4/15), Miami (4/17), ACC Tournament (4/22-24)
  • Comments:  Virginia’s toughest match of the week will come on Wednesday afternoon when they go to Gainesville to face a top 15 Florida team. If they can get past that one they’ll have to start looking ahead to Wake Forest on April 15. 

UCLA moves up one spot to No. 4 after defeating Cal and Stanford. The main reason they moved past Ohio State was because Georgia moved up to No. 7 so those two wins over became that much more valuable. 
  • 8 Best Wins (556.3): #7 Georgia (2X), #9 USC, #10 Texas A&M, #16 Cal, #27 SMU, at #29 Washington, #31 Georgia Tech
  • Other Quality Wins: #32 San Diego, #36 Stanford (2X + 1 on road), #39 Oregon, #66 BYU
  • Losses (8.2): #1 North Carolina, #3 Virginia
  • Computer Score:  556.3/8.2 = 67.84 (was 66.61)
  • What’s Coming Up: at Arizona (4/8), at Utah (4/10), UC San Diego (4/14), at USC 4/17), Pac 12 Tournament (4/22-23)
  • Comments: The next two weeks will be a warm up for the Bruins match against USC on April 17. The winner of that match will be the outright Pac-12 regular season champion and earn the No. 1 seed in the conference tournament.

Ohio State fall one spot to No. 5 despite shutout wins over Iowa and Nebraska.

  • 8 Best Wins (542.9): #10 Texas A&M (2X), #11 Florida, at #17 South Florida, at #18 Oklahoma, #20 Michigan, #21 Texas, #33 Penn State, 
  • Other Quality Wins: #38 Baylor, #45 Virginia Tech, at #51 Notre Dame, #60 Iowa
  • Losses (8.3): #1 North Carolina, at #7 Georgia
  • Computer Score:  542.9/8.3 = 65.41 (was 68.30)
  • What’s Coming Up: at Kentucky (4/6), at Indiana (4/8), at Purdue (4/10), at Minnesota (4/15), at Wisconsin (4/17), Northwestern (4/22), Illinois (4/24), Big Ten Tournament (4/29-5/1)
  • Comments: The Buckeyes have a big one on Wednesday afternoon when they go to Lexington to meet Kentucky. The last time Ohio State went down there they got upset but I don’t see that happening this year. 
Wake Forest stays at No. 6 after winning at Virginia Tech and North Carolina
  • 8 Best Wins (560.7): at #1 North Carolina, #9 USC, #12 Texas Tech, #18 Oklahoma (2X + 1 on road), at #22 Florida State, #31 Georgia Tech, at #45 Virginia Tech
  • Other Quality Wins: #51 Notre Dame, #55 Auburn, #59 South Carolina, at #67 Miami, 
  • Losses (9.6): #3 Virginia, #8 Oklahoma State, #21 Texas, #42 NC State
  • Computer Score:  560.7/9.6 = 58.41 (was 55.43)
  • What’s Coming Up: Duke (4/9), at Virginia (4/15), at Louisville (4/17), ACC Tournament (4/22-24)
  • Comments: Wake is coming off a monster weekend but it needs to make sure it doesn’t have a letdown against a young but improving Duke team. If it takes care of business in that one then all its attention goes toward the Virginia match the following Friday. 

Georgia stays at No. 7 after picking up road wins over Texas A&M and LSU. 
  • 8 Best Wins (493.6): #4 Ohio State, at #10 Texas A&M, #19 Kentucky, #25 Mississippi State, #28 Columbia, #31 Georgia Tech, #35 Memphis, at #43 Vanderbilt 
  • Other Quality Wins: #41 Alabama, at #44 LSU, #49 UC Santa Barbara, #57 East Tennessee State, at #59 South Carolina 
  • Losses (8.5): #5 UCLA (2X), #12 Texas Tech
  • Computer Score:  493.6/8.5 = 58.07 (was 53.82)
  • What’s Coming Up: Florida (4/8), Auburn (4/10), at Arkansas (4/15), at Ole Miss (4/17), SEC Tournament (4/22-24)
  • Comments: The Bulldogs can all but clinch the SEC regular season title with a win this Friday over Florida. Georgia currently has a one game lead over Florida in the SEC standings so a win would extend the lead to two with just three to play. I expect it to be a close match but I think Georgia gets the win on its home turf. 

USC rises one spot to No. 8 after sweeping Cal and Stanford over the weekend. 
  • 8 Best Wins (490.7): #11 Florida, #16 California, #17 South Florida, #18 Oklahoma, at #24 Tulsa, #23 Tulane, at #36 Stanford, at #39 Oregon
  • Other Quality Wins: #36 Stanford (2nd of 2 wins) #38 Baylor, #65 UC Davis
  • Losses (9.0): #2 TCU, #5 UCLA, #6 Wake Forest, #29 Washington
  • Computer Score:  490.7/9.0 = 54.52 (was 52.30)
  • What’s Coming Up:  at Utah (4/8), at Arizona (4/10), UCLA (4/17), Pac 12 Tournament (4/22-23)
  • Comments: The Trojans haven’t exactly been blowing teams out on the road but they’ll have more than enough to win at Utah and Arizona. Despite it being a somewhat down year they still have a chance to win the Pac-12 title outright if they can beat UCLA at home on 4/17.
4/5 Oracle/ITA Men’s Rankings

Rank Avg School Previous Rank
1 73.43 North Carolina 1
2 69.05 TCU 2
3 68.45 University of Virginia 3
4 67.84 UCLA 5
5 65.41 Ohio State University 4
6 58.41 Wake Forest University 6
7 58.07 University of Georgia 7
8 54.52 University of Southern California 9
9 51.78 University of Oklahoma 18
10 50.54 Texas A&M University 10
11 50.38 Texas Tech University 12
12 50.28 Oklahoma State University 8
13 49.23 Northwestern University 13
14 48.83 University of Florida 11
15 44.27 University of Illinois 15
16 44.05 University of Arkansas 14
17 41.1 University of Texas 21
18 39.77 University of Tulsa 24
19 38.29 California 16
20 37.71 University of Kentucky 19
21 37.04 University of Michigan 20
22 36.34 University of South Florida 17
23 34.76 Florida State University 22
24 32.93 Mississippi State University 25
25 32.23 SMU 27
26 32.06 Columbia University 28
27 28.87 Tulane University 23
28 27.32 Rice University 26
29 25.77 University of San Diego 32
30 24.59 University of Washington 29
31 23.64 Georgia Tech 31
32 23.51 University of Alabama 41
33 22.9 Penn State University 33
34 22.52 University of Memphis 35
35 22.18 University of Mississippi 37
36 20.09 University of Oregon 39
37 19.61 Princeton University 34
38 19.59 Dartmouth College 40
39 19.57 LSU 44
40 19.52 Virginia Tech 45
41 19.38 North Carolina State 42
42 19.25 Stanford University 36
43 19 Vanderbilt University 43
44 18.46 University of Wisconsin 30
45 16.91 Baylor University 38
46 15.57 Drake University 46
47 15.52 UC Santa Barbara 49
48 14.5 Old Dominion University 50
49 14.18 University of Denver 48
50 13.52 Harvard University 47
51 12.42 Georgia State University 52
52 12.21 East Tennessee State University 57
53 11.81 Pepperdine 54
54 11.37 Cornell University 56
55 11.31 University of Notre Dame 51
56 11.01 Utah State University 58
57 10.53 Purdue University 53
58 10.44 Loyola Marymount University 68
59 9.97 Auburn University 55
60 9.63 Duke University 75
61 9.62 St. John’s University 61
62 9.5 University of South Carolina 59
63 8.9 University of Iowa 60
64 8.74 Boise State University 69
65 8.7 Brigham Young University 66
66 8.31 University of the Pacific (California) 72
67 8.22 UC Davis 65
68 7.83 Lamar University 71
69 7.74 UNC Wilmington 63
70 7.62 College of William and Mary 62
71 7.57 University of North Florida NR
72 7.45 University of Utah NR
73 7.13 Cal Poly 73
74 6.99 Middle Tennessee State University 64
75 6.69 University of Miami (Florida) 67

The top of the singles rankings didn’t change much with the only new addition to the top 10 being Florida State’s Benjamin Lock. If I can get a chance I’ll do another comparison between these and the Universal Tennis Ratings.
Rank Avg Player School Previous Rank
1 63.2 Dominik Koepfer Tulane University 1
2 57.16 Mikael Torpegaard Ohio State University 2
3 55.51 Cameron Norrie TCU 3
4 53.85 Aleks Vukic University of Illinois 4
5 53.26 Roberto Cid University of South Florida 5
6 49.38 Thai-Son Kwiatkowski University of Virginia 7
7 42.54 Ryan Shane University of Virginia 8
8 41.2 Tom Fawcett Stanford University 6
9 41.07 Mackenzie McDonald UCLA 9
10 40.08 Benjamin Lock Florida State University 12
11 38.38 Jared Hiltzik University of Illinois 10
12 37.16 Christopher Eubanks Georgia Tech 11
13 36.37 Skander Mansouri Wake Forest University 16
14 32.39 Julian Lenz Baylor University 20
15 30 Konrad Zieba Northwestern University 13
16 28.34 Alex Rybakov TCU 15
17 28.22 Diego Hidalgo University of Florida 24
18 28.01 Max de Vroome University of Southern California 25
19 27.04 Joao Monteiro Virginia Tech 21
20 25.63 Felipe Soares Texas Tech University 14
21 25.51 Arthur Rinderknech Texas A&M University 18
22 25.27 Austin Smith University of Georgia 35
23 24.42 Andre Goransson California 17
24 24.32 Petros Chrysochos Wake Forest University 36
25 24.12 William Bushamuka University of Kentucky 27
26 22.82 Nicolas Alvarez Duke University 19
27 22.65 Ronnie Schneider North Carolina 23
28 22.02 Mike Redlicki University of Arkansas 30
29 21.34 Brayden Schnur North Carolina 46
30 20 Florian Lakat California 28
31 19.55 Quentin Monaghan University of Notre Dame 33
32 18.55 Nick Crystal University of Southern California 55
33 17.59 Elliott Orkin University of Florida 29
34 17.56 Wayne Montgomery University of Georgia 34
35 16.82 Hugo Di Feo Ohio State University 26
36 16.81 Axel Alvarez Llamas University of Oklahoma 32
37 16.56 Daniel Valent Vanderbilt University 67
38 16.36 Collin Altamirano University of Virginia 63
39 16.02 Gergely Madarasz Purdue University 51
40 15.66 Sam Shropshire Northwestern University 42
41 15.57 Mate Cutura Mississippi State University 22
42 15.07 Dominic Cotrone University of South Florida 31
43 13.96 Piotr Lomacki University of Miami (Florida) 38
44 13.92 Shane Vinsant Texas A&M University 45
45 12.91 Julian Cash Oklahoma State University 48
46 12.68 Or Ram-Harel University of Tulsa 53
47 12.68 Martin Redlicki UCLA 49
48 12.65 Hunter Johnson SMU 73
49 12.41 Uros Petronijevic University of San Diego 39
50 12.21 Brett Clark North Carolina 37
51 12.02 Alexandru Ghilea University of Oklahoma 47
52 11.87 Ryotaro Matsamura University of Kentucky NR
53 11.5 Logan Smith University of Southern California 58
54 11.36 Mazen Osama University of Alabama 43
55 10.85 Simon Norenius North Carolina State 44
56 10.79 Billy Griffith California 40
57 10.36 Aron Hiltzik University of Illinois 59
58 10.14 Stefan Lindmark University of Mississippi 87
59 9.99 Spencer Papa University of Oklahoma 91
60 9.78 Sam Monette Indiana University-Bloomington 50
61 9.54 Guillermo Nuez TCU 54
62 9.47 Gustav Hansson University of Mississippi 104
63 9.44 Jordan Angus University of San Diego 79
64 9.1 Alexander Ritschard University of Virginia 52
65 9.09 Gage Brymer UCLA 41
66 9 Gabriel Friedrich University of South Carolina 93
67 8.97 Andreas Bjerrehus Virginia Tech 74
68 8.81 Strong Kirchheimer Northwestern University 97
69 8.6 David Wilczynski Stanford University 56
70 8.38 Christian Langmo University of Miami (Florida) 68
71 8.33 Shawn Hadavi Columbia University 64
72 8.31 Herkko Pollanen Ohio State University 70
73 8.29 Rishab Agarwal Mississippi State University 80
74 8.28 Marco Nunez Florida State University 60
75 8.08 Benjamin Ugarte Purdue University 57
76 8.05 Oskar Wikberg California 62
77 7.85 Karue Sell UCLA 98
78 7.76 Mitch Stewart University of Washington 84
79 7.74 Jordan Daigle LSU 69
80 7.73 Robert Kelly North Carolina 82
81 7.62 Jathan Malik University of Michigan 75
82 7.6 Nate Lammons SMU 115
83 7.51 Edoardo Tessaro Virginia Tech 72
84 7.41 Chase Perez-Blanco University of Florida 71
85 7.38 David Biosca East Tennessee State University 86
86 7.3 Maxime Tchoutakian Baylor University 66
87 7.24 George Goldhoff University of Texas NR
88 7.2 Marko Krickovic Auburn University NR
89 7.17 Naoki Takeda University of Arizona 61
90 7.12 Dovydas Sakinis Dartmouth College 81
91 7.12 Amerigo Contini Virginia Tech NR
92