Tomorrow's set of rankings will be the 1st of the year to use the computers so we'll see some decent size swings from where teams were ranked in the 2/17 rankings which were the last to be voted on by the ITA National Rankings Committee.
Below is what I came up with using the ITA's formula which is listed down below my chart. There's always a chance I made a calculation error somewhere but by in large they are usually pretty close. These 2/24 rankings utilize each team's 4 best wins (with best being determined by who gives you the most ranking points). Road wins are given a 10% bonus so beating the 65th ranked team on the road would get your more points than beating the 64th ranked team at home.
It usually takes until the end of March before the rankings get leveled out because by then we're up to using the team's top 7 wins (goes up to top 9 before NCAA selections). Many teams may have 4 or 5 good wins, which will keep them ranked higher for the 1st few rankings, but once they hit the meat of their schedule they'll likely take on a few more losses with not as many higher ranked wins. So what I'm saying is if your team is lower than you thought they should be (i.e Virginia #11) don't worry because if they take care of business against tougher competition as expected they'll quickly climb up as they replace wins over teams in the 40-60s with wins over teams in the 5-20s.
If anybody is running rankings themselves and they don't match mine let me know in the comments section so we can see where the variance came from.
|10||Texas A&M ||53.41||13|
|23||South Florida ||31.34||24|
* not 100% certain due to a counted victory over an opponent ranked below 75.
1. The first six national top 75 team rankings of the spring will be decided by vote of the ITA National Ranking Committee. For the remainder of the spring dual match season, the rankings will be based on the ITA computer ranking system (beginning February 24). For each countable victory and all losses a team receives a prescribed number of points (see point chart) based upon the national ranking of the opponent defeated. Victories and losses in ITAsanctioned college dual matches will count towards the team ranking.
2. A team is worth its current value/ranking. If a team drops or climbs during the season, it will always be worth its current ranking each given period. Each ranking period, the ranking average will be figured with the total of countable victories and all loses. If the team has fewer ranked victories than the countable victory total for the period, the rest of the counted victories will be its unranked victories. If the team has more ranked victories than the countable victory totals, the team's highest countable victories will be those counted. All losses will be considered as countable matches, but losses are also weighted according to opponent rank.
3. The way the points are distributed points for wins; percentages deducted for losses they consider a team's wonloss record, strength of schedule and depth of wins and losses; and significant wins and losses (with bonus points for road wins). The formula works as follows: Sum of points from x' best wins for that rankings period divided by [the x' best countable wins for that particular ranking period + Points from all losses].
4. The ITA National Ranking Committee can review Nos. 51 through 75 in the first five ITA computer team rankings and has the authority to adjust the rankings in that area to ensure the most-deserving teams enter into the rankings.
5. Shortened or different formats approved by the ITA can also count towards rankings (if both coaches have agreed on this prior to the match).
6. Non-division I opponents count as unranked wins and/or losses.
7. The NCAA team champion automatically goes to No. 1 in final ranking. Bonus points are awarded for advancement in the NCAA Team Championships (see point chart).
It was a rainy Sunday across much of the country and while several matches were cancelled due to a lack of indoor courts those that had them put them to use. The matches that were cancelled were Tulsa at Texas A&M, Tennessee vs. Georgia Southern (@ Troy, AL), and a pair of consolation matches at the Blue Gray Classic in Montgomery, Alabama - Boise State vs. Alabama and Auburn vs. Mississippi State.
Baylor's home match with UCLA was moved indoors and in the blink of an eye it was over with the Bears rocking UCLA 4-0 in less than 2 hours. Baylor improved to 10-0 on the year in doubles with a pair of easy wins at 2 and 3 and were also serving for the match at 1 when the clinch occurred. Baylor took 1st sets at 1, 4, 5, and 6 and Vince Schneider, Felipe Rios, and Julian Lenz each closed out their respective matches in straight sets to seal the win. Baylor's Mate Zsiga was 2 points away from winning on 5 while UCLA's Dennis Mkrtchian had a set lead on 2 and Martin Redlicki was up 2-1 in the 3rd on 3.
I don't know about you but it seems crazy to me that UCLA would fly from Los Angeles to Texas to practice for a couple of days then play a 2 hour match and turn around and go home. What possible reason could there be to not play these matches until completion? It's not like the match started a few hours late and UCLA had a 6pm flight to catch so that's why the teams cut bait - the match started on schedule and the teams were on court for less than 2 hours when it was decided. Play the remaining 2nd sets out and then play a 10 point tiebreak in lieu of a 3rd set. Reward the fans that came out in crappy weather instead of sending them back out into it unsatisfied.
Another thing I don't get is why Baylor and a few other schools wipe the scores away from all the matches that weren't permitted to finish. I asked the question on their blog one time and was told that's what the NCAA prefers and I responded well this isn't the NCAA Tournament and the blogger said it's what the school preferred too. Don't get me wrong UCLA wasn't going to win this match but the college tennis fans out there would like to know what the scores were in the remaining matches at the time of the clinch - is it really too much to ask to leave the scores up there?
FYI, the number beside the player's school is the player's Universal Tennis Rating as of the current date. For more details about UTR check out their website
Feb 22, 2015 at Waco, Texas (Hawkins Indoor Tennis Center)
1. #10 Julian Lenz (BU 14.78) def. #2 Mackenzie McDonald (UCLA 14.85) 6-4, 6-2
2. #44 Dennis Mkrtchian (UCLA 13.54) vs.
#27 Tony Lupieri (BU 14.32) 7-6(4), 4-3* DNF
3. #67 Max Tchoutakian (BU 14.25) vs. Martin Redlicki (UCLA 14.25) 3-6, 6-3, *1-2 DNF
4. Vince Schneider (BU 13.36) def. Karue Sell (UCLA 14.13) 6-4, 6-1
5. Mate Zsiga (BU 13.85) vs. Austin Rapp (UCLA 12.91) 7-6(8), 5-1* DNF
6. Felipe Rios (BU 13.56) def. Joseph Di Giulio (UCLA 13.59) 6-1, 6-4
1. #40 Mate Zsiga/Tony Lupieri (BU) vs. #6 Mackenzie McDonald/Martin Redlicki (UCLA) *5-4
2. Julian Lenz/Diego Galeano (BU) def. Karue Sell/Joseph Di Giulio (UCLA) 6-0
3. Vince Schneider/Felipe Rios (BU) def. Austin Rapp/Dennis Mkrtchian (UCLA) 6-3
UCLA 6-5; National ranking #12
Baylor 8-2; National ranking #5
Order of finish: Doubles (2,3); Singles (4,6,1)
Oklahoma and North Carolina played last weekend in the National Indoors quarterfinals with Oklahoma winning 4-1 and the final score of today's match was exactly the same - 4-1. The lineups were a little different today with Oklahoma down 2 singles starters, Spencer Papa (sick)/Jose Salazar (injury), while North Carolina was without Esben Hess-Olsen and Robert Kelly plus the Tar Heels switched up 1 and 2 singles to try to avoid the same result from last weekend.
Oklahoma started off by taking the doubles point which was something it hadn't been able to do the last 2 times out versus North Carolina. In singles play North Carolina came out really strong and took the opening set on 4 courts however they'd only be able to convert 1 of those to a win as Brett Clark upset Dane Webb 6-3, 6-4. Oklahoma's Andrew Harris and Austin Siegel (OU's #8) closed out their matches at 1 and 6 in straight sets to put Oklahoma up 3-1 and it was Florin Bragusi, OU's #7, that provided the clincher by coming back from a set down to defeat Oystein Steiro 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 at #5 singles. The other 2 matches were abandoned at the time of the clinch with OU's Alex Ghilea was up 5-2 in the 3rd at 4 and UNC's Brayden Schnur up a set at 2.
Oklahoma's recap is one of the more detailed recaps that I've seen recently so check it out for my quotes and details about this match.
#1 Oklahoma 4, #8 North Carolina 1
1. #26 Andrew Harris (OU 14.70) def. #19 Ronnie Schneider (UNC 13.92), 6-4, 7-5
2. #6 Brayden Schnur (UNC 14.55) vs. #11 Axel Alvarez (OU 14.50), 7-6(5), 6-6, unfinished
3. Brett Clark (UNC 13.77) def. #31 Dane Webb (OU 14.18), 6-3, 6-4
4. #104 Jack Murray (UNC 13.84) vs. #63 Alex Ghilea (OU 14.13), 7-5, 2-6, 2-5, unfinished
5. Florin Bragusi (OU 13.51) def. Oystein Steiro (UNC 13.69), 3-6, 6-4, 6-3
6. Austin Siegel (OU 13.47) def. Stuart DePaolo (UNC 12.33), 6-4, 6-2
1. #5 Axel Alvarez/Dane Webb (OU) vs. Brett Clark/Brayden Schnur (UNC), 5-4, unfinished
2. Andrew Harris/Alex Ghilea (OU) def. Jack Murray/Ronnie Schneider (UNC), 6-3
3. Spencer Papa/Austin Siegel (OU) def. Andrew Gores/Oystein Steiro (UNC), 6-3
North Carolina 9-5; National ranking #8
Oklahoma 11-1; National ranking #1
Order of finish: Doubles (3,2); Singles (3,1,6,5)
The Ivy League had a superb weekend with Harvard, Princeton, and Cornell all knocking off Power 5 schools but the tables were turned on them today with each coming up short.
Cambridge, MA: Vanderbilt jumped out to the early 1-0 lead by taking the doubles point but Harvard would pick up 4 1st sets and Brian Yeung, Nicky Hu, and Kenny Tao would each close out their opponents in straight sets at 6, 3, and 5 singles to put Harvard up 3-1. Vandy's rock at #1, Gonzales Austin, would trim the deficit to 3-2 with a 7-6, 6-3 win over Denis Nguyen. Austin is now 10-0 during dual match play with his last loss coming to Brayden Schnur in the finals of the USTA/ITA National Indoor Intercollegiate Championships. Vandy's Danny Valent would even that match at 3 and run his record to 9-1 with a come from behind 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 win at #4 singles over Alex Steinroeder. The final match left on court was at #2 singles between Rhys Johnson and Sebastian Beltrame. After splitting sets, Vandy's Johnson would jump out to a 5-2 lead in the 3rd but Beltrame wouldn't go quietly as he would hold and then break Johnson at 15-40 to put the match back on serve. It would come down to the deciding point on the Beltrame serve but it wouldn't end good for the home team as Johnson would get the point and the match. (Most of the details came courtesy of Harvard's Tennis Twitter - @HMTofficial
- give them a follow)
#23 Vanderbilt 4, #25 Harvard 3
1. #8 Austin, Gonzales (VU 14.40) def. #91 Nguyen, Denis (HARV 13.99) 7-6, 6-3
2. Johnson, Rhys (VU 13.34) def. #80 Beltrame, Sebastian (HARV 13.21) 7-6, 4-6, 6-4
3. Hu, Nicky (HARV 13.78) def. Yee, Kris (VU 13.73) 6-3, 6-2
4. Valent, Daniel (VU 13.74) def. Steinroeder, Alex (HARV 13.37) 3-6, 6-3, 6-3
5. Tao, Kenny (HARV 13.11) def. Newman, Baker (VU 13.00) 6-4, 6-3
6. Yeung, Brian (HARV 13.19) def. Eswaran, Suresh (VU 12.87) 6-2, 6-0
1. #2 Austin, Gonzales/Johnson, Rhys (VU) def. #15 Nguyen, Denis/Yeung, Brian (HARV) 6-1
2. Binet, Pen/Newman, Baker (VU) vs. Beltrame, Sebastian/Hu, Nicky (HARV) 3-4*
3. Eswaran, Suresh/Valent, Daniel (VU) def. Haughey, Conor/Tao, Kenny (HARV) 6-3
Vanderbilt 9-2; National ranking #23
Rain is in the forecast in many parts of the country so matches are being cancelled or being moved indoors. Here is my preview of the bigger matches on Sunday (Texas A&M/Tulsa already cancelled due to rain).
#23 Vanderbilt (8-2) at #25 Harvard (8-2)- 12pm est - Harvard Twitter & Video - Both teams have beaten Minnesota over the last 2 days with Vandy squeaking out a 4-3 win on Friday while Harvard throttled the Gophers pretty good on Saturday by a 5-2. Vandy is 7-2 in doubles while Harvard is 8-2 so it should be a pretty exciting start to the the match. I could see Harvard winning the match despite dropping the doubles point but I don't see Vanderbilt finding 4 points without the doubles point. Vandy has now played in 6 matches that have finished 4-3 while Harvard has played in 5 that were either 4-2 or 4-3 so both teams are used to the pressure. I like Vandy in doubles and Austin and Valent in singles but I like Beltrame, Hu, Tao, and Yeung for the Crimson. Prediction: Harvard 4-3
Projected Lineup1. #8 Gonzales Austin (VU 14.40) vs. #91 Denis Nguyen (HV 13.99)2. Rhys Johnson (VU 13.34) vs. #80 Sebastian Beltrame (HV 13.21)3. Kris Yee (VU 13.73) vs. Nicky Hu (HV 13.78)4. Danny Valent (VU 13.74) vs. Alex Steinroeder (HV 13.37)5. Baker Newman (VU 13.00) vs. Kenny Tao (HV 13.11)6. Suresh Eswaran (VU 12.87) vs. Brian Yeung (HV 13.19)#8 North Carolina (9-4) at #1 Oklahoma (10-1) - 1pm est - Live Scoring & Video - Both of these teams will look to rebound after suffering tough losses on road with UNC coming off a gut wrenching 4-3 loss to #10 Texas that saw Ronnie Schneider get broke 4 times while serving for the match while Oklahoma suffered its 1st loss of the season when it's bottom 3 let them down. These teams met last Saturday during the NTIs with Oklahoma winning 4-1 (box score below) so North Carolina will need to do something really special to avoid the same fate. In my opinion the only spots in play for UNC are at 1, 4, and 6 because I have a hard time seeing Ronnie Schneider rebounding from Friday's loss against a guy as good as Axel Alvarez especially since Alvarez rocked Ronnie pretty good last week, Dane Webb has had Brett Clark's number, and Steiro has won a combined 4 games in his last 2 matches. With Esben Hess-Olesen sidelined North Carolina doesn't really have any other viable options if they sit Steiro so they'll probably ride him out and hope for the best. I wouldn't be totally shocked if John Roddick decided to make a change at #6 singles because Jose Salazar has now dropped 3 straight so maybe we'll see Florin Bragusi. I like Harris, Alvarez, Webb, and Ghilea for OU and Murray and Kelly for UNC. Prediction: Oklahoma 4-3
Projected Lineup:1. #6 Brayden Schnur (UNC 14.54) vs. #26 Andrew Harris (OU 14.69) 2. #19 Ronnie Schneider (UNC 13.91) vs. #11 Axel Alvarez (OU 14.48) 3. Brett Clark (UNC 13.75) vs. #31 Dane Webb (OU 14.17) 4. #104 Jack Murray (UNC 13.83) vs. Spencer Papa (OU 13.91) 5. Oystein Steiro (UNC 13.66) vs. #63 Alex Ghilea (OU 14.11) 6. #75 Robert Kelly (UNC 13.54) vs. Jose Salazar (OU 13.72)
#2 Oklahoma 4, #7 North Carolina 1 - 2015 NTI Quarterfinals
1. Axel Alvarez/Dane Webb (OKLA) def. Brayden Schnur/Oystein Steiro (UNC) 6-1 2. Brett Clark/Robert Kelly (UNC) def. Spencer Papa/Andrew Harris (OKLA) 6-4
3. Jack Murray/Ronnie Schneider (UNC) def. Jose Salazar/Alex Ghilea (OKLA) 6-3
1. #26 Andrew Harris (OKLA) def. #6 Brayden Schnur (UNC) 7-6(5), 6-3 2. #11 Axel Alvarez (OKLA) def. #19 Ronnie Schneider (UNC) 6-1, 6-4 3. #31 Dane Webb (OKLA) vs. Brett Clark (UNC) 6-4, 3-6, 3-0, unfinished 4. Spencer Papa (OKLA) def. Oystein Steiro (UNC) 6-4, 6-2 5. #63 Alex Ghilea (OKLA) def. #104 Jack Murray (UNC) 7-5, 6-1
6. Jose Salazar (OKLA) vs. #75 Robert Kelly (UNC) 0-6, 6-3, 4-5, unfinished
Match Notes:Order of finish: Doubles (1,3,2); Singles (2,4,5,1)
#12 UCLA (6-4) at #5 Baylor (7-2) - 1pm est - Live Scoring & Blog - This will be a matchup between one team on the rise and the other on the fall. Baylor had a great weekend in Chicago in beating both Virginia and Duke before seemingly letting Oklahoma off the hook in the semifinals while UCLA continues to struggle to put away the close matches with the Bruins dropping all 4 this year where they've yielded at least 2 points (a pair of 4-3 and 4-2 losses). Last year Baylor went into LA and stunned UCLA 4-2 so the Bruins will do their best to try and return the favor however I just don't see the horses in the barn to make that happen. UCLA just hasn't the consistency it's used to with Mkrtchian, Brymer, Sell, and Rapp a combined 13-12 in dual match play while both McDonald and Redlicki have been the bright spots with those guys a combined 14-1. UCLA is 8-2 in doubles while Baylor is 9-0 so it wouldn't be surprising to see all 3 courts go to a tiebreak which is what happened last year. Baylor's only weak spot this year has been at #4 where its guys are a combined 2-4 with Galeano 0-3. UCLA's best chance at the upset is to take the doubles point and to get wins from McDonald, Redlicki, and Sell with each of those matches near toss-ups. UCLA will keep it close but Baylor pulls through with Tschoutakian, Lupieri, Galeano, and Zsiga winning.Prediction: Baylor 5-2
Projected Lineup:1. #2 Mackenzie McDonald (UCLA 14.84) vs. #10 Julian Lenz (BU 14.77)2. #44 Dennis Mkrtchian (UCLA 13.52) vs. #67 Max Tchoutakian (BU 14.22)3. Martin Redlicki (UCLA 14.23) vs. #27 Tony Lupieri (BU 14.30)4. Gage Brymer (UCLA 13.83) vs. Diego Galeano (BU 13.78)5. Karue Sell (14.16) vs. Vince Schneider (BU 13.35)6. Austin Rapp (12.89) vs. Mate Zsiga (BU 13.84)
#43 Tulsa (8-6) at #13 Texas A&M (3-1) - 1pm est - Live Scoring (Match Rained Out) - Tulsa always plays a tough schedule and things won't get any easier as they head to College Station to take an Aggie team coming off an upset over #1 Oklahoma. Tulsa is coming off a 4-3 loss to Oklahoma State and they seem to still be trying to find that right mix within the lineup as the newcomers, Jose Gonzalez and Mitchell Pritchard, continue to jump around. Tulsa was also without its #4 Matthew Kirby (12.88) during the Oklahoma State match so we'll see if he's back in there. Last year Texas A&M rolled to a 6-1 win at Tulsa with all 6 singles matches finishing in straight sets and this year's match will probably be about the same. Prediction: Texas A&M 6-1
Projected Lineup:1. Or-Ram Harel (Tulsa 13.23) vs. #45 Shane Vinsant (aTm 14.35)2. Alejandro Espejo (Tulsa 13.80) vs. #43 Jeremy Efferding (aTm 14.09)3. Jose Gonzalez (Tulsa 13.49) vs. #36 Harrison Adams (aTm 13.97)4. Carlos Bautista (Tulsa 12.63) vs. Arthur Rinderknech (aTm 13.87)5. Mitchell Pritchard (Tulsa 12.55) vs. #51 AJ Catanzariti (aTm 13.96)6. Dylan McCloskey (Tulsa 12.58) vs. Max Lunkin (aTm 12.57)
Follow these matches and others through the links on my Live Scoring Page
Feb 16-19: Men's National Team Indoors (Seattle)
May 17-28: NCAA Championships (Winston-Salem)